
🔹 Economic Momentum: The supportive cycle of the past 3 years is losing steam, with an imminent shift toward a counter-cyclical environment.
🔹 Monetary Policy: The expectations for ECB rate hikes seem exaggerated to us.
🔹 Valuations: Return to historical fair value in Europe, with a still attractive discount (15%) on the small and mid-cap segment.
🔹 Behavioral Aspect: End of the powerful stock market rally; the technical setup rather points to an upcoming horizontal consolidation.